Whose Fault?

This is three weeks old, but you get what you pay for.

Jeb Golinkin, on FrumForum, posted on the subject of the race for Obama’s former Senate seat in Illinois.  He is making the case for why the Republican Kirk might well beat the Democrat Giannoulias.

Giannoulias has the problem of

his ties to corrupt Illinois politics as usual (Blago, Tony Rezko, the fact that his biggest fundraiser was recently arrested….etc.)…It also helps that Giannoulias can’t stop finding his way into the news for all the wrong reasons. His family bank is on the brink of collapse and has loaned a clean $20 million to convicted felons.

Kirk has advantages:

Kirk is an established moderate.  He voted for cap and trade, a vote which probably horrifies many readers but might actually play in his favor by demonstrating that he is willing to go out on a limb, buck his party, and support a president who still remains popular in Illinois. Kirk also has impeccable national security credentials (for years, he has been leading the push in Congress for sanctions on Iran). Furthermore, his economic positions will appeal to voters eager to get their jobs back and see the economy moving again.

And then there is:

the fact that Rod Blagojevich, with whom Giannoulias has worked, is going to be on the front page of every Illinois paper as his trial unfolds.

So, Kirk is a moderate with a liberal vote on the record supporting Obama and Giannoulias is tarred with corruption.

Couple that analysis with the fact that the President’s party always loses seats in the mid-term election.

But you can bet your boots that if Kirk wins, there will be plenty of spin on the right that this race is just another example of the failure of Obama and the electorate’s rejection of him.

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